Duke-UNC Odds: North Carolina-Duke Betting Line, Predictions, & Trends To Watch

Duke vs UNC Best Odds: Who Is Favored To Win?

Duke was favored to win against UNC on March 14, 2025, and won but did not cover the spread, winning by just three points. FanDuel North Carolina projected a 6.5-point spread in favor of the Blue Devils, and they failed to cover. 

ESPN Analytics gave Duke a 76.4% chance of beating UNC, and they succeeded, covering the spread. 

Over the last 10 games, UNC is 4-6 against Duke overall. One of those wins was a titanic victory during March Madness in the 2022 Final Four that sent the Tar Heels to the National Championship game. 

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UNC vs Duke: Consider This Before Making Your Picks

Before you place a wager on the UNC vs. Duke odds, take a look at the most important notes from our expert research. 👇

• Recent Matchup History: Duke won the last matchup against UNC on March 14, 2024, with a score of 74-71. Duke is currently on a three-game winning streak against UNC.
• Overall History: Looking at games dating back to January 27, 1999, Duke has a winning record against UNC with 37 wins and 24 losses.
• Home and Away Records: UNC's home record against Duke is 12 wins and 16 losses, while their away record is 10 wins and 17 losses.
• 2024-25 Season Schedule: Duke dominated UNC this season, sweeping the Tar Hills in two games and then beating them again in the ACC Tournament. 
• ACC Tournament: Duke defeated North Carolina on Friday, completing a three-game season series sweep.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Analyzing this information can help you make informed predictions for the upcoming UNC vs. Duke games.

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UNC vs Duke Spread

The UNC vs Duke spread was 6.5 points in favor of the Blue Devils in their next showdown. To put it into perspective, Duke trounced UNC in their last meetup in February 87-70 and then won again 82-69. Therefore, oddsmakers had them winning again, which they did. 

UNC vs Duke Moneyline

The moneyline for Duke vs UNC was -350 in favor of the Blue Devils based on how their seasons are going so far.

Last year, UNC was a +190 underdog when they upset the Blue Devils.

Duke/Carolina Prop Bets

Game props for Duke-UNC are listed at DraftKings North Carolina:

Prop bets are wagers you can make on an individual player or an individual market for one team. You can bet on prop odds for points, rebounds or assists for certain players, and you can also be on team totals and team stats, as well.

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Duke vs. UNC Predictions

North Carolina can shock one of the favorites as they clash with Duke on March 14, 2025. While the odds are against them, oddsmakers have them competing in this showdown and making it interesting. 

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Duke Predictions: Chances To Win vs UNC

The ACC Tournament series is now tied at five wins apiece. These teams had not faced off since 2019, when the Blue Devils defeated the Tar Hills on the way to an ACC Title. 

How The Blue Devils Beat The Tar Heels

• 📈 Strengths: Cooper Flagg
• 📉 Weaknesses: Composure in big games, potential mismatch on RJ Davis

Duke has gone 19-1 against the ACC this season, displaying dominance against their conference rivals. It was not surprising to see them win the ACC Tournament, too. 

The Blue Devils offense usually runs big man Cooper Flagg. The future first-overall pick will be the path to victory and has been amazing for Duke this season, leading the Blue Devils with 18.9 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game. They won this game despite no Cooper Flagg, as he was out with an injury. 

Guards Kon Knueppel led the way with 17 points, while guard Sion James added 12, and Tyrese Proctor added 11 points to help set the pace. 

🏀 MORE: Duke Odds for 2025

UNC Predictions: Chances To Win vs Duke

They won't have a chance to beat them this season unless their paths somehow cross again in the NCAA Tournament. But to do that, they must win their games. 

Ven-Allen Lubin will be the key factor here, as he would likely match up against Flagg. Can he handle the pressure?  

How The Tar Heels Beat The Blue Devils

• 📈 Strengths: Difficult-to-defend inside-out game with RJ Davis. 
• 📉 Weaknesses: 3-point defense and rebounding. 

The Tar Heels have not beaten the Blue Devils this season. Part of the reason for this has been their inability to shoot the rock, as they converted just 39.1 percent from the floor. Even worse, they shot just 33.3 percent from beyond the arc. They also lost the board battle 39-26, highlighting a main weakness while losing the tight battles to Flagg. 

North Carolina also lost the battle in the paint, as Duke won that battle 40-28. Unfortunately, it has been a struggle as they have constantly given Duke multiple chances. 

One of their strengths was their ability to steal the ball. Their defense did a good job of capitalizing on their opportunities. This is a chance where they have to play to their strengths and play tight defense. Additionally. double teaming Flagg and forcing him to defer to others could help. 

🏀 MORE: UNC Odds for 2025

History of Carolina-Duke Games

Since 1999, the Blue Devils have a record of 38-22 over the Tar Heels and a surprising 17-11 SU record in Chapel Hill. North Carolina has been the underdog in every game this season and will again serve as the underdog here. 

Over the last 20 games, the point total for this game has been flat. The score has gone Over 10 times and Under 10 times. The last 2 meetings have gone under.

All-Time Record: Carolina vs Duke

North Carolina leads the all-time series 144-120. Duke has scored 14,649 points, while North Carolina has scored 14,695.

All-Time Best Duke vs UNC Games

Duke-UNC is not just one of the strongest rivalries in college basketball, but in all of sports. It's hosted some of the NCAA greats (Mike Krzyzewski, Dean Smith, Roy Williams, Michael Jordan, Christian Laettner) and turned others into household names (Zion Williamson, Tyler Hansbrough, JJ Redick, Grayson Allen).

Narrowing down their top games is a challenge with over 250 all-time matchups, but I'll give it my best shot.

• Duke 77, UNC 75 in ACC Tournament (March 10, 1984) Duke upset No. 1-ranked UNC, led by future Hall of Famer Michael Jordan, after going 1-8 against the Tar Heels in the previous four seasons. You could argue this game kicked off the Duke-UNC rivalry we know today.
• UNC 81, Duke 77 in Final Four (April 2, 2022) The Tar Heels sent legendary Duke head coach Mike Krzyzewski into retirement in the first ever Final Four meeting between these two teams.
• Duke 77, UNC 75 (Feb. 28, 1998) A matchup between top-3 teams, No. 1 Duke beat UNC on a buzzer beater from Roshown McLeod. Both teams would go on to advance far in March Madness that season.
• UNC 96, Duke 92 in OT (March 2, 1974) Sports Illustrated calls this game the "gold standard for miracle comebacks in college basketball." UNC rallied to send this game to overtime with just 17 seconds left in regulation.

Author

Robert Hayek

@RobertBHayek

Robert B. Hayek has been writing about sports for over a decade and is currently a member of the Gambling.com Group team. In his spare time, he runs the largest sports meetup group in Orange County, CA, actively participating in every sport imaginable. He is also a published author of five thriller novels, all available on Amazon.