NFL Draft: How Much Value Have Panthers Gotten From 1st Round Picks Over Last 10 Years?

NFL Draft: How Much Value Have Panthers Gotten From 1st Round Picks Over Last 10 Years?
Fact Checked by Nate Hamilton

It’s been a lost decade on the gridiron for the Carolina Panthers, who haven’t reached the NFL Playoffs since 2017 and are on the heels of posting the NFL’s worst win percentage (.118) in 2023 with zero first-round draft picks at their disposal.  

Still, the Panthers’ draft picks have been fairly productive since 2014, with a handful of Pro Bowl-level players and the prodigal talents of running back Christian McCaffery buoying the franchise's total approximate value over the last 10 years.  

McCaffery’s total AV in six NFL seasons (72 AV) was roughly a quarter of Carolina’s 10-year total (289 AV), ranking well ahead of the next closest Carolina draft pick during that timeframe (D.J. Moore, at 50 AV).  

This year, Panthers fans can finally participate in North Carolina sports betting for the NFL season but will have to wait a while to see who GM Dan Morgan takes in the draft, with the team’s first selection being the 33rd pick after trading their No. 1 selection to the Chicago Browns in exchange for the rights to draft Bryce Young at No. 1 in 2023.  

Utilizing ProFootballReference.com, BetCarolina.com utilized their approximate value statistic to combine the total approximate value of the career of each NFL team’s 1st round NFL draft picks from 2014 to 2023 NFL Draft. The teams were then ranked on the average approximate value per pick to see what team has utilized their picks the best.  

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NFL Teams AV Total Since 2014:

You won't find the information below on North Carolina betting apps, but it may give you an edge on which first-round players may have a positive impact on certain NFL teams.

RankTeamTotal Approximate Value# of 1st Round Draft PicksAverage Approximate Value Per Pick
1Los Angeles Rams285471.3
2Dallas Cowboys372941.3
3Chicago Bears253736.1
4Buffalo Bills322935.8
5Tampa Bay Buccaneers312934.7
6Kansas City Chiefs235733.6
7Baltimore Ravens4281332.9
8Indianapolis Colts174629.0
T-9Carolina Panthers2891028.9
T-9Miami Dolphins3181128.9
11Pittsburgh Steelers258928.7
12San Francisco 49ers3141128.5
13New York Giants3401228.3
14Cleveland Browns3371228.1
15New Orleans Saints3361228.0
16Atlanta Falcons3051127.7
17Tennessee Titans2981127.1
18Las Vegas Raiders3151226.3
19Los Angeles Chargers2871126.1
20Denver Broncos203825.4
21Arizona Cardinals226925.1
22Detroit Lions3001225.0
23Washington Commanders2461024.6
24Jacksonville Jaguars2901224.2
25Minnesota Vikings2411024.1
26Houston Texans183822.9
27New York Jets2861322.0
T-28Cincinnati Bengals1911019.1
T-28Green Bay Packers1911019.1
30Philadelphia Eagles1881018.8
31New England Patriots136817.0
32Seattle Seahawks110715.7

Where Carolina Ranks In NFL When It Comes To Drafting Talent

Since 2014, Carolina’s average AV per draft pick (28.9) ranks in a tie with the Miami Dolphins for ninth in the NFL, sandwiched between the No. 8 Indianapolis Colts (29.0 AV per pick) and the No. 11 Pittsburgh Steelers (28.7 AV per pick).  

Leaguewide, the Los Angeles Rams (71.3 AV per pick), Dallas Cowboys (41.3 AV per pick) and Chicago Bears (36.1 AV per pick) landed the most bang for their buck when it came to drafting value-laden players, while the raw AV total leader was the Baltimore Ravens, who had 428 AV spread across 13 picks between 2014 and 2023.  

Conversely, the worst teams in the league when it came to AV average were the Seattle Seahawks (15.7 AV per pick), New England Patriots (17.0 AV per pick) and the Philadelphia Eagles (18.8 AV per pick), while the Seahawks had the lowest AV total in general, at 110 AV across seven picks over 10 years.  

Come April 24, Panthers fans will have to wait on the sidelines as their club watches the Bears use their No. 1 overall pick to land a generational talent, hoping Morgan and his front office colleagues can land some late-round sleepers in 2024 to get Carolina back into the playoffs for the first time since 2017.  

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Author

Christopher Boan

Christopher Boan is a lead writer at BetCarolina.com specializing in covering state issues. He has covered sports and sports betting in Arizona for more than seven years, including stops at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.

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