Nikki Haley 2024 Odds: Haley Presidential Odds and Winning Probability

Fact Checked by Thomas Leary

The 2024 presidential race has seen various changes to betting odds as the election process continues to move forward. Former President Donald Trump has recently emerged as the overwhelming betting favorite at -110, with current Commander in Chief Joe Biden at +175. Trump's odds slightly shortened after his win at the Iowa Caucus in mid-January, which saw Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley finish second and third, respectively.

Haley, the former South Carolina governor, as recently as January had the third-best odds to win at +650 heading into the caucus, overtaking Gavin Newsom. But Haley's odds have significantly lengthened since, going from +650 to now +1600. However, the South Carolina native can continue to gain an edge in the coming months after initially announcing her intention to run for president as a GOP member in February 2023.

Haley in late November hit the trail in South Carolina, just days after Trump heard boos from the crowd at the Clemson-South Carolina football game. And gain ground on the heavy favorite she did. Her campaign received a massive boost from the Koch Network, the political group founded by brothers Charles and David Koch. The group endorsed Haley on Tuesday, Nov. 28 and will provide an influx of financial heft to battle Trump for the Republican nomination; several other Republican contenders have dropped out, including DeSantis.

On Feb. 3, Haley made a surprise appearance on NBC's "Saturday Night Live," turning up the rhetoric against Trump in a mock CNN town hall. Her harshest joke included saying Trump "might need a mental competency test."

But with Haley's odds now at +1600, she now trails Trump, Biden and Michelle Obama (+800).

Political odds are not available for wagering across North Carolina sports betting, but BetCarolina.com will keep you up to date throughout the 2024 political race to the Oval Office.

2024 Presidential Nomination Odds

Donald Trump-110 (53% Chance)
Joe Biden+175 (37% Chance)
Michelle Obama+800 (11% Chance)
Nikki Haley +1600 (6% Chance)
Gavin Newsom+2200 (4% Chance)
Robert Kennedy Jr.+2800 (3% Chance)
✅ Last VerifiedFebruary 23, 2024

Who Nikki Haley Would Likely Be Running Against

Haley will likely be running against candidates with a wealth of experience in dealing with the rigors of the presidential election process. Haley’s toughest competition to gain the GOP nomination is former President Donald Trump, who has become the heavy frontrunner to secure the Republican nomination and become the next president for 2024.

Trump is currently the favorite to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election at -110 betting odds. 

The Trump administration is sure to pose a threat to Haley in the primaries with polls currently in his favor and his status throughout the Republican party. However, Haley is also up against President Joe Biden (+175 or 37% chance to win), Michelle Obama (+800 or 11% chance to win) and California Governor Gavin Newsom (+2200 or 4% chance), who has slowly improved his stock as a viable presidential candidate. 

Can Haley Win The Presidency in 2024?

The Haley campaign faces an uphill battle to secure the presidency in 2024 as her odds (+1600) continue to get longer as the election approaches. Haley faces stiff competition among Republican voters for the seat but could increase her chances through campaigning, endorsements, and debates throughout the election process. 

Is Donald Trump Running for President in 2024?

Donald Trump announced his intention to run for President back in November 2022, giving the former President ample opportunity to garner the attention of constituents nationwide. Trump has emerged as not only a strong candidate but is the betting favorite at -110. He is ahead of his familiar foe President Joe Biden, who sits at +175 odds. Trump is projected to secure the Republican nominee for President but could lose his position given how unpredictable his rhetoric is in the election process.

Key Developments Amid Haley Odds to Be President

Haley first announced her intention to run for President earlier this year and has since taken steps to improve her chances of winning. The former United States Ambassador to the United Nations has made the effort to expand her reach through media appearances on various outlets, including Fox News. Haley has also put herself directly against other presidential candidates by participating in debates against other Republican hopefuls at the time. The Nov. 8 debate, which was hosted by NBC News, was won by Haley, according to a Washington Post poll. 

Haley also improved her chances of securing the Republican nomination with a town hall in Bluffton, South Carolina, on Nov. 27. Haley served as Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017. She finished third in the GOP Iowa Caucus on Jan. 15 and second in the New Hampshire primary on Jan. 23.

What Are Nikki Haley's Chances To Be President in 2024 or 2028?

According to bet365, Nikki Haley’s chances to be elected president in 2024 are still slim given her current odds compared to Trump and Biden. Haley’s current odds at +1600 give her an implied probability to win of 6%. If unsuccessful in 2024, Haley could become an intriguing candidate for the 2028 election due to her familiarity with the presidential election and nomination process.

What the Sportsbooks Have Haley Presidential Odds At

Bettors in the United States are unable to place wagers on any government election due to political betting in any capacity being prohibited. However, sportsbooks with licensed authorization outside the U.S. — including bet365 — offer betting odds for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Bet365, which has secured licenses in several jurisdictions across America, is currently offering 2024 presidential odds in both the United Kingdom and Canada. As of Feb. 5, Nikki Haley has the fourth-best odds at +1600 to secure a 2024 presidential win.

In late November, bet365 expanded its North American reach in a deal with the NBA's Charlotte Hornets.

How to Read the Haley Presidential Odds

The current presidential odds are an indication of the likelihood a candidate has to secure the seat in 2024. The odds are the ratio between the money a bettor risks and the potential payout by a betting operator.

What Are the Odds of Haley Winning in North Carolina?

Haley has a strong chance of winning in North Carolina due to her previous role as the Governor of South Carolina giving her a familiarity with the neighboring state and its residents. Haley also has a strong chance of winning North Carolina due to Republicans carrying the state in 11 of the last 13 presidential elections, though Haley faces a tough opponent in Donald Trump. 

2024 Presidential Election Polls: Where Haley Stands

Haley has been steadily increasing her chances of winning the presidential election. The former governor has garnered 9.6% of primary poll votes to be the Republican candidate in 2024, according to FiveThirtyEight. Haley sits behind Donald Trump. The former President leads the Republican primary polls with 60.2% of votes.

Who Is the Top Challenger Against Nikki Haley?

Former President Donald Trump has emerged as the top challenger against Nikki Haley due to his ability to secure the Republican nomination for the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Haley will need to edge out Trump to secure the nomination in 2024 but faces another tough challenge in President Joe Biden, who has emerged as the favorite to secure the Democratic nomination.

Nikki Haley Presidential Odds FAQs

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