Updated UNC Tarheels College Football Playoff Odds
These are the latest odds for the UNC Tarheels to make the CFP in 2025:
| 🏈 Odds To Make College Football Playoff: | +7500 |
| ⭐ Probability of Making The Playoffs: | 1.3% |
| 🏆 Probability of Missing The Playoffs: | OTB |
| ✅ Last Verified: | September 12, 2025 |
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Updated UNC Tarheels Playoff Chances Week by Week
Below, we’ll track the UNC Tar Heels’ odds to make the CFP each week after every game:
| ↔️ Preseason: | 34% |
| Week 1: | 1.9% |
| Week 2: | 1.3% |
UNC Tarheels Football Schedule & Odds of Game
| Opponent | Odds/Results |
|---|---|
| 📅 TCU (Sept. 1) | ❌ L 48-14 |
| 📅 Charlotte (Sept. 6) | ✅ W 20-3 |
| 📅 Richmond (Sept. 13) | TBA |
| 📅 UCF (Sept. 20) | TBA |
| 📅 Clemson (Oct. 4) | TBA |
| 📅 California (Oct. 17) | TBA |
| 📅 Virginia (Oct. 25) | TBA |
| 📅 Syracuse (Oct. 31) | TBA |
| 📅 Stanford (Nov. 8) | TBA |
| 📅 Wake Forest (Nov. 15) | TBA |
| 📅 Duke (Nov. 22) | TBA |
| 📅 NC State (Nov. 29) | TBA |
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Why The UNC Tarheels Could Make the College Football Playoff
To make the College Football Playoff, the Tar Heels will need to win the ACC Championship and maintain a strong overall record, with early-season success being especially important. Their Week 1 loss to TCU complicates the path, but a bounce-back victory against Charlotte offers a glimmer of hope for the season ahead.
Bill Belichick’s presence has already elevated expectations, especially on defense, where his influence could make an immediate impact. Key transfers, including quarterback Gio Lopez and cornerback Thad Dixon, are expected to play important roles. Recruiting has improved since Belichick’s arrival, signaling a commitment to long-term program growth. Ultimately, the Tar Heels will need standout performances from both returning players and newcomers to stay on the path to the College Football Playoff.
Why The UNC Tarheels Might Miss The Playoffs
Currently, sportsbooks list UNC at +7500 to make the College Football Playoff and +10000 to win the ACC championship, ranking them as the fourth-longest odds in the conference. With a new starting quarterback, Gio Lopez, and legendary coach Bill Belichick at the helm, there is renewed optimism around the program. Still, sportsbooks view UNC as long shots to reach the CFP. Significant roster turnover, a highly competitive ACC, and a relatively inexperienced squad could make even an otherwise manageable schedule a challenge.
UNC Tarheels History in The College Football Playoffs
The Tarheels have not yet made the playoffs, but they are on a six-game bowl steak and last made a major bowl game during the 2020 season, where they played Texas A&M in the Orange Bowl. Unfortunately for UNC fans, they are just 3-12 in their last 15 bowl games and have only made "major bowl games" four times since their first bowl game in 1947.
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How To Bet On The UNC Tarheels Making The CFP in 2025
You can use any legal NC sportsbook to be on the UNC Tarheels futures. Follow along throughout the season to bet on in season games as well.
UNC Tarheels CFP Odds FAQs
The UNC Tar Heels’ College Football Playoff odds are currently +7500 at the start of the season, giving them a 1.3% chance. These odds are expected to change as the season progresses, depending on conference performance, key matchups, and player impact.
The UNC Tar Heels have never made the College Football Playoff, highlighting the challenge ahead for the program. With a new head coach in Bill Belichick and key players like quarterback Gio Lopez leading the way, the Tar Heels are aiming to change that narrative in 2025.
Author
Brandon Justice is a Writer, Commercial Editor, and Fact Checker for BetCarolina.com. He's covered numerous sports betting perspectives for over six years, including everything from analysis & daily picks to reviews & guides. Additionally, he spent six seasons covering college football. The Carolina Panthers follow him on Twitter.
