Updated UNC Tarheels College Football Playoff Odds
North Carolina’s College Football Playoff odds are off the board as the Tar Heels shift their focus to winning out and securing bowl eligibility.
| 🏈 Odds To Make College Football Playoff: | OTB |
| ⭐ Probability of Making The Playoffs: | OTB |
| 🏆 Probability of Missing The Playoffs: | OTB |
| ✅ Last Verified: | November 3, 2025 |
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Updated UNC Tarheels Playoff Chances Week by Week
Below, we’ll track the UNC Tar Heels’ odds to make the CFP each week after every game:
| ↔️ Preseason: | 34% |
| Week 1: | 1.9% |
| Week 2: | 1.3% |
| Week 3: | 1.4% |
| Week 4: | 0.7% |
| Week 5: | 0.5% |
| Week 6: | OTB |
| Week 7: | OTB |
| Week 8: | OTB |
| Week 9: | OTB |
| Week 10: | OTB |
UNC Tarheels Football Schedule & Odds of Game
| Opponent | Odds/Results |
|---|---|
| 📅 TCU (Sept. 1) | ❌ L 48-14 |
| 📅 Charlotte (Sept. 6) | ✅ W 20-3 |
| 📅 Richmond (Sept. 13) | ✅ W 41-6 |
| 📅 UCF (Sept. 20) | ❌ L 34-9 |
| 📅 Clemson (Oct. 4) | ❌ L 38-10 |
| 📅 California (Oct. 17) | ❌ L 18-21 |
| 📅 Virginia (Oct. 25) | ❌ L 17-16 |
| 📅 Syracuse (Oct. 31) | ✅ W 27-10 |
| 📅 Stanford (Nov. 8) | -7.5, ML -345 |
| 📅 Wake Forest (Nov. 15) | TBA |
| 📅 Duke (Nov. 22) | TBA |
| 📅 NC State (Nov. 29) | TBA |
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Why The UNC Tarheels Could Make the College Football Playoff
To reach the College Football Playoff, the Tar Heels will need to win the ACC Championship and post a strong overall record, making early-season success especially crucial. Their Week 1 loss to TCU complicated that path, but bounce-back wins over Charlotte and Richmond provided a brief spark. However, following losses to UCF and Clemson, North Carolina’s CFP hopes now appear all but out of reach.
Bill Belichick’s arrival has raised expectations, and key transfers such as quarterback Gio Lopez and cornerback Thad Dixon were expected to contribute immediately. However, the team has struggled, starting 1–3 in conference play. These difficulties stem from a mix of offensive inefficiency and defensive lapses.
Why The UNC Tarheels Might Miss The Playoffs
Currently, sportsbooks do not list UNC to make the College Football Playoff or win the ACC championship. With legendary coach Bill Belichick at the helm, there is renewed optimism around the program. Significant roster turnover, a highly competitive ACC, and a relatively inexperienced squad made an otherwise manageable schedule a challenge.
UNC Tarheels History in The College Football Playoffs
The Tarheels have not yet made the playoffs, but they are on a six-game bowl steak and last made a major bowl game during the 2020 season, where they played Texas A&M in the Orange Bowl. Unfortunately for UNC fans, they are just 3-12 in their last 15 bowl games and have only made "major bowl games" four times since their first bowl game in 1947.
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How To Bet On The UNC Tarheels Making The CFP in 2025
You can use any legal NC sportsbook to be on the UNC Tarheels futures. Follow along throughout the season to bet on in season games as well.
UNC Tarheels CFP Odds FAQs
The UNC Tar Heels’ College Football Playoff odds are currently off the board at most sportsbooks, but they entered the season with +20000 odds. UNC's playoff hopes have dimmed, and with the season dwindling down, it looks like they will miss the CFP.
The UNC Tar Heels have never made the College Football Playoff, highlighting the challenge ahead for the program. With a new head coach in Bill Belichick and key players leading the way, the Tar Heels were aiming to change that narrative in 2025.
Author
Brandon Justice is a Writer, Commercial Editor, and Fact Checker for BetCarolina.com. He's covered numerous sports betting perspectives for over six years, including everything from analysis & daily picks to reviews & guides. Additionally, he spent six seasons covering college football. The Carolina Panthers follow him on Twitter.
