Updated UNC Tarheels College Football Playoff Odds
North Carolina’s College Football Playoff odds are off the board as the Tar Heels shift their focus to next season. These odds will be updated next year.
| 🏈 Odds To Make College Football Playoff: | OTB |
| ⭐ Probability of Making The Playoffs: | OTB |
| 🏆 Probability of Missing The Playoffs: | OTB |
| ✅ Last Verified: | December 22, 2025 |
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Updated UNC Tarheels Playoff Chances Week by Week
Below, we’ll track the UNC Tar Heels’ odds to make the CFP each week after every game:
| ↔️ Preseason: | 34% |
| Week 1: | 1.9% |
| Week 2: | 1.3% |
| Week 3: | 1.4% |
| Week 4: | 0.7% |
| Week 5: | 0.5% |
| Week 6: | OTB |
| Week 7: | OTB |
| Week 8: | OTB |
| Week 9: | OTB |
| Week 10: | OTB |
UNC Tarheels Football Schedule & Odds of Game
| Opponent | Odds/Results |
|---|---|
| 📅 TCU (Sept. 1) | ❌ L 48-14 |
| 📅 Charlotte (Sept. 6) | ✅ W 20-3 |
| 📅 Richmond (Sept. 13) | ✅ W 41-6 |
| 📅 UCF (Sept. 20) | ❌ L 34-9 |
| 📅 Clemson (Oct. 4) | ❌ L 38-10 |
| 📅 California (Oct. 17) | ❌ L 18-21 |
| 📅 Virginia (Oct. 25) | ❌ L 17-16 |
| 📅 Syracuse (Oct. 31) | ✅ W 27-10 |
| 📅 Stanford (Nov. 8) | ✅ W 20-15 |
| 📅 Wake Forest (Nov. 15) | ❌ L 34-17 |
| 📅 Duke (Nov. 22) | ❌ L 32-25 |
| 📅 NC State (Nov. 29) | ❌ L 42-19 |
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Why The UNC Tarheels Could Make the College Football Playoff
North Carolina’s CFP hopes required an ACC title and a fast start, but a Week 1 loss to TCU quickly complicated that path. Brief wins over Charlotte and Richmond were followed by losses to UCF and Clemson, effectively ending playoff aspirations. Despite high expectations under Bill Belichick and several impact transfers, the Tar Heels finished 2–6 in ACC play due to continued offensive and defensive struggles.
That backdrop makes the 2026 season a true crossroads for UNC. Recent recruiting classes have added talent and long-term upside, but optimism is tempered after a 4–8 campaign and ongoing staff turnover. A demanding ACC schedule awaits, with home games against Louisville, Miami, NC State, and Syracuse, plus road trips to Clemson, Duke, Pitt, and Virginia. With a young roster and little margin for error, the season will play a major role in determining whether Belichick’s vision takes hold or lingering doubts remain.
Why The UNC Tarheels Might Miss The Playoffs
UNC missed the CFP this year, but with legendary coach Bill Belichick at the helm, optimism around the program remained high. Significant roster turnover, a competitive ACC, and a relatively inexperienced squad, however, have turned what might have been a manageable schedule into a serious challenge. The 2026 season represents a pivotal test: either Belichick’s long-term vision starts to take shape with a young, talented roster, or questions about his transition to the college game grows.
UNC Tarheels History in The College Football Playoffs
The Tar Heels have not yet made the College Football Playoff. They were on a six-game bowl streak, with their last major bowl appearance coming in the 2020 Orange Bowl against Texas A&M. This year, they have fallen out of bowl contention. Unfortunately for UNC fans, they are just 3-12 in their last 15 bowl games and have only made "major bowl games" four times since their first bowl game in 1947.
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How To Bet On The UNC Tarheels Making The CFP in 2025
You can use any legal NC sportsbook to be on the UNC Tarheels futures. Follow along throughout the season to bet on in season games as well.
UNC Tarheels CFP Odds FAQs
The UNC Tar Heels’ College Football Playoff odds are off the board since the Tar Heels failed to make the CFP. They entered the season with +20000 odds. UNC will also miss a bowl game for the first time since 2018.
The UNC Tar Heels have never made the College Football Playoff, highlighting the challenge ahead for the program. With a new head coach in Bill Belichick and key players leading the way, the Tar Heels were aiming to change that narrative in 2025.
Author
Brandon Justice is a Writer, Commercial Editor, and Fact Checker for BetCarolina.com. He's covered numerous sports betting perspectives for over six years, including everything from analysis & daily picks to reviews & guides. Additionally, he spent six seasons covering college football. The Carolina Panthers follow him on Twitter.
