Anyone betting on the same driver to win every week in the NASCAR Cup Series will likely need both patience and luck to get a positive return on their money.
BetCarolina.com got historical odds from BetMGM North Carolina Sportsbook (via SportsOddsHistory.com) for each NASCAR race this season. We then calculated how much you would’ve won or lost if you bet $10 on each of several prominent NASCAR drivers in all 12 Cup Series races so far this season.
Driver | Profit | ROI |
Josh Berry | $870 | 621.4% |
Austin Cindric | $500 | 316.7% |
Christopher Bell | $325 | 170.8% |
William Byron | $50 | 41.7% |
Denny Hamlin | $35 | 29.2% |
Joey Logano | $30 | 25.0% |
Kyle Larson | $5.50 | 4.6% |
All Other Drivers | -$120 | -100.0% |
ROI stands for return on investment. Turn to BetCarolina.com for more NASCAR insight and the best NC sportsbook promo codes on the market.
This data is through 12 regular-season NASCAR Cup races, including the AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 11.
Josh Berry’s victory on March 16 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway was his first in the NASCAR Cup Series and the first for the Wood Brothers’ famed No. 21 car since last year, when Harrison Burton was driving it.
Berry has three top-10 finishes this season so the top-10 wagering prop is iffy for him – however, his lone win at +10000 odds would have put any bettor at North Carolina sports betting sites well ahead for the whole season even if that was the only $10 bet to pay out.
Similarly, Austin Cindric paid out to win on April 27 at Talladega at +1600 odds, putting his value ahead of the rest of the pack.
Kyle Larson has three victories this season in the Cup Series. But as you can see, a bettor putting $10 on him to win every week would barely be ahead.
Why? Simple: Larson is among the NASCAR betting favorites every week, if not the favorite. For instance, in last week’s race at Kansas, Larson led 221 out of 267 laps including the final 55 circuits in a dominant victory. He paid off his backers, but not a ton, because Larson went off as the favorite at +350 odds.
One intriguing wrinkle for Larson in the next couple of weeks is that he’ll be splitting his time between NASCAR and IndyCar as he prepares to try “The Double” by running the Indianapolis 500 in the daytime and Charlotte’s Coca-Cola 600 at night. He attempted The Double last year, but rain at both sites ruined his chances of racing 1,100 miles in two totally different race cars in one day.
Also see our story on 5 NASCAR Drivers who are better Cup Series bets in 2025 for names to watch. Already this season, Chase Briscoe and Ryan Preece have contended several times and we think it’s only a matter of time before they, like Josh Berry, end their wait for their first Cup Series triumphs.
USA Today photo by Jim Dedmon
A: Josh Berry was the most profitable through 12 weeks, earning a staggering $870 profit and 621.4% return on investment (ROI) if you had wagered $10 on him in every race so far.
A: Aside from Berry, Austin Cindric, Christopher Bell, William Byron and Denny Hamlin all delivered a positive ROI through 12 NASCAR Cup Series races in the 2025 season.
Author
Jim Tomlin has more than 30 years of experience at such publications as the Tampa Bay Times, FanRag, Saturday Down South and Saturday Tradition. He now lends his expertise in sports, betting and the intersection of those two industries to BetCarolina.com, among other sites.
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