Is North Carolina A Swing State For 2024 Presidential Election?

We’re at the end of the 2024 presidential campaign because today is Election Day. Not only is the race between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris a close call nationally, but it’s also that way in North Carolina, too.

Recent polls in the state show that Trump holds a narrow lead, but Harris is well within the margin of error, which is essentially a statistical tie. It will all boil down to turnout, and the candidate with the better “Get Out The Vote” drive will likely claim the Tar Heel State’s 16 Electoral College votes.

BetCarolina.com, your best bet for North Carolina sports betting promos, has discovered that interest in the presidential election is huge within North Carolina. Here is what the latest data suggests.

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Is North Carolina A Red Or Blue State 2024?

Candidate	Odds	Percent Chance
Donald Trump (Republican)	+105	48.8%
Kamala Harris (Democrat)	+110	47.7%

BetCarolina.com, which offers this political analysis as well as NC sports betting coverage, used an average results of three current polls for the 2024 Presidential race.

We developed odds for how North Carolina will vote in 2024. The polls we used are from Susquehanna Polling, Franklin & Marshall and Bloomberg/Morning Consult.

These odds are for informational purposes only. North Carolina sports betting apps operators cannot offer wagering on the election at this time. However, legal options, such as Kalshi and PredictIt, are available for North Carolina adults who wish to bet on the race.

Recent North Carolina Voting In Presidential Elections

Election Year	Democrat Candidate	Republican Candidate
2020	Joe Biden (48.6%)	Donald Trump (49.9%)
2016	Hillary Clinton (46.2%)	Donald Trump (49.8%)
2012	Barack Obama (48.4%)	Mitt Romney (50.4%)
2008	Barack Obama (49.7%)	John McCain (49.4%)
2004	John Kerry (43.6%)	George W. Bush (56.0%)

North Carolina might not get the same amount of attention as Michigan, Pennsylvania or Georgia in terms of battleground states. But as the table above shows, the state has become more competitive in recent years. Three of the past four elections have been decided by two percentage points or fewer.

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When To Vote In North Carolina

On Election Day, polls across the state are open until 7:30 p.m. Anyone who is in line waiting to vote at closing time will be allowed to vote.

Here are some recent North Carolina voting trends In Presidential elections.

Between 2000 and 2020, North Carolina voted for the winning presidential candidate 66.7% of the time.
Since 2000, North Carolina has voted Democratic 16.7% of the time and Republican 83.3% of the time.

Author

Steve Bittenbender

Sports Betting Expert & Insider

As a writer and analyst for BetCarolina.com, Steve not only covers gaming news and developments in North Carolina but also provides insights into what they mean for bettors, licensed operators and the state. A veteran journalist with 25 years of experience covering sports, politics and business, Steve has reported on the gambling industry intently over the past five years.