Latest US Open Betting Odds
Here are the latest US Open betting odds, according to DraftKings North Carolina:
| 🥇 Scottie Scheffler | +300 |
| 🥈 Rory McIlroy | +1100 |
| 🥉 Xander Schauffele | +1200 |
| 📈 Collin Morikawa | +1400 |
| 📈 Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
| ✅ Last Updated: | July 25, 2024 |
🔥 MORE: Compare Odds Across North Carolina Sportsbooks
Who has the Best Odds to Win the US Open?
Scottie Scheffler has the best odds to win the US Open with +400 betting odds. The ball-striking supremo is the clear favorite to win the US Open at Pinehurst this summer. No surprise there as the world No. 1 player has dominated the men's game over the past two years.
Now, he's added his second Masters victory.
Strong ball-striking golfers will reign supreme at Pinehurst No. 2. Scheffler has led all the relevant ball-striking stats for quite a while now, and he excels in approach shots.
His resume this year already includes PGA Tour wins at Bay Hill, Augusta, TPC Sawgrass, Harbour Town Country Club, and The Memorial.
📋 MORE: How to Bet on Golf in NC
Best US Open Golf Bets
| 🔥 Brooks Koepka | +1800 |
| 🔥 Patrick Cantlay | +2000 |
| 📈 Viktor Hovland | +2000 |
| 📈 Collin Morikawa | +1400 |
| 🔥 Cameron Smith | +2500 |
| ✅ Last Updated: | July 25, 2024 |
📲 MORE: NC Sports Betting Apps To Download Today
US Open Betting Favorites
Let's look at the top of the U.S. Open betting market, focusing on favorite Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and 2024 PGA Championship winner Xander Schaufflee. But, we can't forget the likes of Brooks Koepka, who won the PGA Championship at Oak Hill last year.
🎁 MORE: North Carolina Sportsbook Promo Codes
Scottie Scheffler (+300)
Scheffler has been dominating the 2024 golf season, picking up wins at Bay Hill and becoming the first player to go back-to-back at the Players Championship.
Scheffler heads to the US Open after claiming his second green jacket following a world-class Masters performance. He had a controversial weekend at Valhalla Country Club for the PGA Championship but it is still hard to bet against him, especially at one of the golf majors.
📈 Strengths
Tee-to-green game is king in golf, and Scheffler leads the ball-striking stats. He is ranked #1 in greens in regulation and proximity to the hole.
Key 2024 Statistics:
- Overall Strokes Gained: 1st (2.842)
- Strokes Gained: Tee to Green: 1st (2.742)
- Strokes Gained: Approach: 1st (1.348)
📉 Weaknesses
If Scheffler does have a weakness, it's his putter. He ranks 75th in strokes gained on the greens this year. He started the season outside of the top 100 and his improvement with the putter has been a key factor in his dominance thus far this year.
Key 2024 Statistics:
- Make Percentage Putting from 10': 21% (166)
- Make Percentage Putting from 4-8': 69% (95)
- Make Percentage Putting from 4': 86% (170)
👀 Something to watch: As impressive as Sheffler's resume is, he has yet to win after April during the calendar year.
Rory McIlroy (+1100)
McIlroy has had a quiet season by his high standards, and he is still chasing the grand slam after his play at the Masters came up short. It's McIlroy's approach play into the green that's letting him down in 2024. Rory will need to limit mistakes to compete at Pinehurst. On the bright side, he's showing signs of life following a win at the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow, where he remained in striking distance all weekend and dominated on Sunday.
📈 Strengths
McIlroy led the driving distance stats last season. That extra length gives him an advantage on the field, gaining him strokes off the tee.
Key 2024 Statistics:
- Total Driving (Ranking): 2nd
- Driving Distance: 318.1 (2nd)
- Strokes Gained Off The Tee: 0.861 (3rd)
📉 Weaknesses
The Irishman is 62nd in strokes gained approach this season. He's hitting too many wayward iron shots. Hitting the fairway will be pivotal for everyone at Pinehurst Resort this year but for McIlroy, it will be essential.
Key 2024 Statistics:
- Approaches from 75-100 (in the fairway): 12'8" (5th)
- Approaches from 75-100 (in the rough): 24'3" (89th)
- Greens in Regulation: 67% (41st)
⛳️ More: Odds To Win The 2024 Open Championship at Royal Troon
Xander Schauffele (+1200)
Xander Schauffele edged out Bryson Dechambeau and Viktor Hovland to win his first Major Championship at Valhalla. He will look to carry that momentum to Pinehurst Resort.
📈 Strengths
Xander Schauffele has been a model of overall consistency in 2024, ranking 2nd in Total Strokes Gained and in the top 30 in all six strokes gained categories. He is one of the safest bets to finish in the top 10 in the field.
Key 2024 Statistics:
- Bogey Avoidance: 8.98% (2nd)
- Par 5 Birdie or Better: 59.88% (2nd)
- Strokes Gained - Tee-to-Green: 1.867 (2nd)
📉 Weaknesses
The major knock on Schauffele this season has been his lack of ability to close down the stretch on Sunday. His conservative approach shots generally land him in tough spots on the green leading to high-pressure putts that will make or break his weekend.
Key 2024 Statistics:
- Round 4 Scoring Average: 69 (35th)
- Proximity to Hole: 38'11" (105th)
- Approaches from 75-100 (in the rough): 24'3" (89th)
US Open Contenders
In the middle tier of the market, we will find players like Ludvig Aberg (+1800), fresh off the back of a runner-up finish at the Masters on debut, and Jordan Spieth (+2500).
I'm going to focus specifically on three major US Open contenders for the week over 72 holes of play.
Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
It's been quiet for Cantlay this year with a Top 4 finish at The Genesis as his standout result. At the Masters, Cantlay finished in the middle of the pack for another underwhelming performance, considering his talent.
📈 Strengths
Cantlay excels in all-around consistency, as well as in the mental game—both traits needed to win the US Open. Cantlay ranked 3rd in strokes gained total in 2023 on the PGA Tour.
Key 2024 Statistics:
- Proximity to the hole from sand: 7'0 (3rd)
- Putts per round - round 1: 27.2 (2nd)
- Par 5 Birdie or Better: 57% (6th)
📉 Weaknesses
Previous year's US Open winners will agree that you must hit fairways to have a chance at winning this major. Currently, Cantlay ranks just 69th this year in driving accuracy isn't going to cut it.
Key 2024 Statistics:
- Consecutive Fairways Hit: 9 (209th)
- Driving Distance: 298.3 (93rd)
- Round 4 Scoring Average: 72 (166th)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+2800)
Fitzpatrick has already shown us his course fit for US Open-specific tracks when he won in 2022 at Brookline. The Englishman is heating up with a Top 5 at the Players Championship followed by a Top 10 at the Valero Texas Open.
📈 Strengths
Holing putts for par will be key at Pinehurst. Fitzpatrick, along with caddie Billy Foster, excels on the green with a putting average ranking of 10.
📉 Weaknesses
His ranking of 80th in strokes gained off the tee isn't ideal.
Justin Thomas (+3000)
History says players around the +3000 or +4000 price point do well in the US Open. The 30-year-old has been completely back in form this season with a string of Top 10 finishes.
📈 Strengths
Pound-for-pound, Thomas is one of the longest hitters in golf, but it's his ranking of 6th in approach play in 2024 that catches my eye for the US Open.
📉 Weaknesses
A scrambling percentage of around 58% doesn't give me a lot of confidence ahead of the average green test at Pinehurst.
Max Homa (+3500)
Homa is just warming up with notable highlights in 2024 including Top 15 finishes at the Sentry, the Farmers Insurance Open, and Bay Hill. He kicked into gear at the Masters, contending most of the week and ultimately tying for third.
📈 Strengths
If you are looking for a very strong course fit profile, then Homa is it, excelling in the tee-to-green department. This consistency has delivered 6 PGA Tour wins in his career.
📉 Weaknesses
Ranking 62nd in driving distance, Homa isn't quite as long off the tees as some of his competitors.
US Open Longshots
We are reaching the final hole now (so to speak). Why not throw some longshots into the mix? Here are some golfers who might spoil the US Open party—like Gary Woodland did at Pebble Beach!
Tony Finau (+3500)
Finau has been struggling to get going in what's been a bit of a challenge of a season. But he did post a Top 6 at the Farmers Insurance Open where, at one point, he looked like he was going to win in a fun final round.
Recently, Big Break Tony tied for 2nd in his defense of the Houston Open, which came as no surprise.
📈 Strengths
Finau's ball striking is still on point ranking 6 and 7 in strokes gained tee to green and approach, respectively. That's a winning formula for US Open picks on the fairway on the Pinehurst course.
📉 Weaknesses
History tells us Finau's biggest enemy has always been the flat stick. A ranking of 163 in strokes gained on the greens negates his ball-striking prowess.
Tyrell Hatton (+3500)
The Englishman has made the switch to the LIV golf league this year. He had a decent Masters in the bag despite 3-putting from 4 feet on his final hole of Round 3—in front of the big man Tiger Woods, no less!
Hatton secured a top-10 finish at this year's Masters.
📈 Strengths
Hatton was 7th with the flat stick last season. A hot putter can keep himself in the game at major championships.
📉 Weaknesses
If Hatton could get his mental game under control, his results would be a lot better.
Sam Burns (+5000)
I'm still waiting for Sam Burns to catch fire in 2024. Missing the cut at the Valspar where he's won twice was a blow. He opened up with a terrible first round at the Masters and missed the cut. However, he has had several top 10s.
📈 Strengths
The putter is a big strength of Burns'. He ranked 8th in strokes gained last year.
📉 Weaknesses
Burns is struggling in getting up and down. His SG: Around The Green ranking is amongst the worst on the PGA Tour.
US Open Betting Trends: Past US Open Champion Odds
| Year | Winner | Pre-Open Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Wyndham Clark | +7000 |
| 2022 | Matt Fitzpatrick | +3000 |
| 2021 | Jon Rahm | +1000 |
| 2020 | Bryson DeChambeau | +2500 |
| 2019 | Gary Woodland | +6000 |
The average odds for the past five US Open championship winners was around 40/1. For the last few years, long-odds US Open picks have been popular due to the the test of this tournament. We can see upsets in this type of tournament like Wyndham Clark in 2023 at +7000 odds.
Even so, other recent winners include Brooks Koepka and Rory McIlroy, who were among the favorites. It can be a good strategy to back against the favorites, looking at players around that +4000 mark.
Those were Martin Kaymer's odds when he won the US Open for the first time at Pinehurst. Looking at the US Open betting market, Max Homa at +3300 may be a better bet than backing former champions like Jon Rahm at +1000.
📲 MORE: North Carolina Sports Betting Apps
2024 US Open FAQs
Author
Bryan Nicholson has a strong pedigree in sports betting and poker with vast experience working with variance and assessing probabilities. Bryan is the author of multiple books on sports betting including Hypnotised by Numbers and Angles and Edges. He is predominantly a golf betting expert who gladly expands his expertise into covering other top markets like hockey and football, and expect to see Bryan writing educational pieces from time to time as well.
