Odds To Win The 2024 US Open at Pinehurst: Favorites, Contenders, & Longshots

Fact Checked by Shannon Lane

Key Takeaways:

  • ⭐️ 2024 Masters champion Scottie Scheffler is the favorite to win the US Open at +400 odds.
  • ⛳️ This year's US Open will be held at Pinehurst Resort in North Carolina.
  • πŸ“… The championship goes from June 13-16.
Scottie Scheffler Celebrates at the Masters

Odds to win the US Open are shaping up nicely ahead of the championship at Pinehurst Country Club, starting on June 13.

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Latest US Open Betting Odds

Here are the latest US Open betting odds, according to DraftKings North Carolina:

πŸ₯‡ Scottie Scheffler+400
πŸ₯ˆ Rory McIlroy+1100
πŸ₯‰ Jon Rahm+1200
 πŸ“ˆ Ludvig Aberg+1800
πŸ“ˆ Xander Schauffele+1800
βœ… Last Updated:May 20, 2024

πŸ”₯ MORE: Compare Odds Across North Carolina Sportsbooks

Who has the Best Odds to Win the US Open?

Scottie Scheffler has the best odds to win the US Open with +400 odds. The ball-striking supremo is the clear favorite to win the US Open at Pinehurst this summer. No surprise there as the world No. 1 player has dominated the men's game over the past two years.

Now, he's added his second Masters victory.

Strong ball-striking golfers will reign supreme at Pinehurst No. 2. Scheffler has led all the relevant ball-striking stats for quite a while now, and he excels in approach shots.

His resume this year already includes PGA Tour wins at Bay Hill, Augusta, TPC Sawgrass, and Harbour Town.

πŸ“‹ MORE: How to Bet on Golf in NC

Best US Open Golf Bets

πŸ”₯ Brooks Koepka+1800
πŸ”₯ Patrick Cantlay+2000
πŸ”₯ Viktor Hovland+2200
πŸ”₯ Collin Morikawa+2500
πŸ”₯ Cameron Smith+2500
βœ… Last Updated:May 20, 2024

πŸ“² MORE: NC Sports Betting Apps To Download Today

US Open Betting Favorites

Let's look at the top of the US Open betting market, focusing on favorite Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Patrick Cantlay. But, we can't forget the likes of Brooks Koepka, who won the PGA Championship at Oak Hill last year.

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Scottie Scheffler (+400)

Scheffler has been dominating the 2024 golf season, picking up wins at Bay Hill and becoming the first player to go back-to-back at the Players Championship. Scheffler heads to the US Open after claiming his second green jacket following a world-class Masters performance.

πŸ“ˆ Strengths

Tee-to-green game is king in golf, and Scheffler leads the ball-striking stats.

πŸ“‰ Weaknesses

If Scheffler does have a weakness, it's his putter. He ranks 97th in strokes gained on the greens this year.

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Rory McIlroy (+1100)

McIlroy has had a quiet season by his high standards, and he is still chasing the grand slam after his play at the Masters came up short. It's McIlroy's approach play into the green that's letting him down in 2024. Rory will need to limit mistakes to compete at Pinehurst. On the bright side, he's showing signs of life following a win at the Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow, where he remained in striking distance all weekend and dominated on Sunday.

πŸ“ˆ Strengths

McIlroy led the driving distance stats last season. That extra length gives him an advantage on the field, gaining him strokes off the tee.

πŸ“‰ Weaknesses

The Irishman is 62nd in strokes gained approach this season. He's hitting too many wayward iron shots.

Patrick Cantlay (+2000)

Patrick Cantlay Competes at 2024 Genesis

It's been quiet for Cantlay this year with a Top 4 finish at The Genesis as his standout result. At the Masters, Cantlay finished in the middle of the pack for another underwhelming performance, considering his talent.

πŸ“ˆ Strengths

Cantlay excels in all-around consistency, as well as in the mental gameβ€”both traits needed to win the US Open. Cantlay ranked 3rd in strokes gained total in 2023 on the PGA Tour.

πŸ“‰ Weaknesses

You need to hit fairways in the US Open, and Cantlay's ranking over 100 this year in driving accuracy isn't going to cut it.

US Open Contenders

In the middle tier of the market, we will find players like Ludvig Aberg (+1800), fresh off the back of a runner-up finish at the Masters on debut, and Jordan Spieth (+2500).

I'm going to focus specifically on three major US Open contenders for the week over 72 holes of play.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+2800)

Matt Fitzpatrick Celebrates at Brookline in 2022

Fitzpatrick has already shown us his course fit for US Open-specific tracks when he won in 2022 at Brookline. The Englishman is heating up with a Top 5 at the Players Championship followed by a Top 10 at the Valero Texas Open.

πŸ“ˆ Strengths

Holing putts for par will be key at Pinehurst. Fitzpatrick, along with caddie Billy Foster, excels on the green with a putting average ranking of 10.

πŸ“‰ Weaknesses

His ranking of 80th in strokes gained off the tee isn't ideal.

Justin Thomas (+3000)

Justin Thomas Competes at Valspar Open

History says players around the +3000 or +4000 price point do well in the US Open. The 30-year-old has been completely back in form this season with a string of Top 10 finishes.

πŸ“ˆ Strengths

Pound-for-pound, Thomas is one of the longest hitters in golf, but it's his ranking of 6th in approach play in 2024 that catches my eye for the US Open.

πŸ“‰ Weaknesses

A scrambling percentage of around 58% doesn't give me a lot of confidence ahead of the average green test at Pinehurst.

Max Homa (+3500)

Max Homa Competes at the Masters

Homa is just warming up with notable highlights in 2024 including Top 15 finishes at the Sentry, the Farmers Insurance Open, and Bay Hill. He kicked into gear at the Masters, contending most of the week and ultimately tying for third.

πŸ“ˆ Strengths

If you are looking for a very strong course fit profile, then Homa is it, excelling in the tee-to-green department. This consistency has delivered 6 PGA Tour wins in his career.

πŸ“‰ Weaknesses

Ranking 62nd in driving distance, Homa isn't quite as long off the tees as some of his competitors.

US Open Longshots

We are reaching the final hole now (so to speak). Why not throw some longshots into the mix? Here are some golfers who might spoil the US Open partyβ€”like Gary Woodland did at Pebble Beach!

Tony Finau (+3500)

Finau has been struggling to get going in what's been a bit of a challenge of a season. But he did post a Top 6 at the Farmers Insurance Open where, at one point, he looked like he was going to win in a fun final round.

Recently, Big Break Tony tied for 2nd in his defense of the Houston Open, which came as no surprise.

πŸ“ˆ Strengths

Finau's ball striking is still on point ranking 6 and 7 in strokes gained tee to green and approach, respectively. That's a winning formula for US Open picks on the fairway on the Pinehurst course.

πŸ“‰ Weaknesses

History tells us Finau's biggest enemy has always been the flat stick. A ranking of 163 in strokes gained on the greens negates his ball-striking prowess.

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Tyrell Hatton (+3500)

The Englishman has made the switch to the LIV golf league this year. He had a decent Masters in the bag despite 3-putting from 4 feet on his final hole of Round 3β€”in front of the big man Tiger Woods, no less!

Hatton secured a top-10 finish at this year's Masters.

πŸ“ˆ Strengths

Hatton was 7th with the flat stick last season. A hot putter can keep himself in the game at major championships.

πŸ“‰ Weaknesses

If Hatton could get his mental game under control, his results would be a lot better.

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Sam Burns (+5000)

I'm still waiting for Sam Burns to catch fire in 2024. Missing the cut at the Valspar where he's won twice was a blow. He opened up with a terrible first round at the Masters and missed the cut. However, he has had several top 10s.

πŸ“ˆ Strengths

The putter is a big strength of Burns'. He ranked 8th in strokes gained last year.

πŸ“‰ Weaknesses

Burns is struggling in getting up and down. His SG: Around The Green ranking is amongst the worst on the PGA Tour.

US Open Betting Trends: Past US Open Champion Odds

YearWinnerPre-Open Odds
2023Wyndham Clark+7000
2022Matt Fitzpatrick+3000
2021Jon Rahm+1000
2020Bryson DeChambeau+2500
2019Gary Woodland+6000

The average odds for the past five US Open championship winners was around 40/1. For the last few years, long-odds US Open picks have been popular due to the the test of this tournament. We can see upsets in this type of tournament like Wyndham Clark in 2023 at +7000 odds.

Even so, other recent winners include Brooks Koepka and Rory McIlroy, who were among the favorites. It can be a good strategy to back against the favorites, looking at players around that +4000 mark.

Those were Martin Kaymer's odds when he won the US Open for the first time at Pinehurst. Looking at the US Open betting market, Max Homa at +3300 may be a better bet than backing former champions like Jon Rahm at +1000.

πŸ“² MORE: North Carolina Sports Betting Apps

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2024 US Open FAQs

Author

Bryan Nicholson has a strong pedigree in sports betting and poker with vast experience working with variance and assessing probabilities. Bryan is the author of multiple books on sports betting including Hypnotised by Numbers and Angles and Edges. He is predominantly a golf betting expert who gladly expands his expertise into covering other top markets like hockey and football, and expect to see Bryan writing educational pieces from time to time as well.

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